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A comparative study on the statistical performance of methods for estimating the minimal clinically important difference

Published on May. 28, 2026Total Views: 47 times Total Downloads: 17 times Download Mobile

Author: QUAN Xuyuan 1 SONG Jiali 1 HOU Yan 1, 2, 3

Affiliation: 1. Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China 2. Peking University Cancer Hospital & Institute, Beijing 100142, China 3. Peking University Clinical Research Center, Beijing 100191, China

Keywords: Minimal clinically important difference Root mean square error Anchor-based methods Distribution-based methods

DOI: 10.12173/j.issn.1005-0698.202512063

Reference: Quan XY, Song JL, Hou Y. A comparative study on the statistical performance of methods for estimating the minimal clinically important difference[J]. Chinese Journal of Pharmacoepidemiology, 2026, 35(5): 508-516. DOI: 10.12173/j.issn.1005-0698.202512063.[Article in Chinese]

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Abstract

The minimal clinically important difference (MCID) refers to the smallest change in treatment effect that is meaningful to patients and serves as a key metric for regulatory agencies in evaluating the clinical value of drugs or therapeutic interventions. Rooted in a patient-centered approach, the MCID not only reflects the magnitude of clinical improvement but also embodies patients' emphasis on the change. However, the applicability of various MCID estimation methods across clinical scenarios has not been systematically compared, leading to inconsistent methodological selection and significant variability in estimated results in clinical research. Previous studies have indicated that the selection of appropriate MCID methods should comprehensively consider characteristics such as sample size and treatment effect; inappropriate method selection across different scenarios may introduce significant bias into MCID estimates, thereby compromising the robustness of clinical research conclusions and the scientific validity of regulatory decision-making. Therefore, the appropriate selection of statistical methods is critical for obtaining accurate and reliable MCID estimates. This article systematically reviews commonly used MCID estimation methods in clinical research and evaluates the statistical performance of multiple anchor-based and distribution-based approaches through simulation experiments, providing a reasonable basis for MCID method selection.

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References

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